{"schema":"sb.truth.v1","subject":"bitcoin-price-level","title":"The Bitcoin price levels record","tier":"standard","tierNote":"Standard-tier record, generated from the maintained event registry: reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation, and state history. No primary-source layer yet — first-party issuer verification is what upgrades a record to full tier, the discipline the hormuz record demonstrates.","subjectBinding":{"entity":"bitcoin","bound":true,"basis":"named-in-subject","statement":"Lead subject \"bitcoin\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Bitcoin price levels\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity.","candidatesConsidered":["bitcoin"],"alsoDefensible":[],"rejected":[],"actionClass":null},"publishState":"published","publishStateNote":null,"asOf":"2026-08-22","generatedAt":"2026-08-22T23:27:49.197705+00:00","tracked":true,"access":"Free — no key, no charge. Serves at GET /api/truth/bitcoin-price-level and answers the get_truth_object MCP tool. (No exhibit page for standard-tier records yet — the API and MCP responses ARE the record.)","attribution":"Cite 'Signal Bureau' with https://signalbureau.ai/api/truth/bitcoin-price-level so readers can verify.","layers":{"primarySources":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[]},"reporting":{"label":"Observed reporting","basis":"attributed sources — outside coverage in our tracked set; verify at the source. Prediction-market question pages are excluded: a venue question is not journalism, whoever hosts it. Filtered for EVENT relevance, not just subject: a row is served only if it names \"bitcoin\" AND carries a term from this record's own subject line, or two terms from its market-question set. The subject's name alone is the key its corpus was sampled on, so it proves nothing about this event — each served row names the terms it matched in eventTerms.","status":"observed","note":"Event-relevance filtered: 5 attributable rows sampled for \"bitcoin\", 1 served, 4 withheld as not shown to be about \"Bitcoin price levels\". The served count is reduced on purpose and reported, never quietly smaller.","sampledForSubject":5,"served":1,"withheldNotEventRelevant":4,"relevanceTerms":{"subjectLine":["levels","curated","above","time","high","below","hit","btc"],"questionSet":["150k","december","000","8pm","gta"]},"items":[{"title":"Bitcoin Marches Higher","url":"https://www.crowdfundinsider.com/2026/08/299735-bitcoin-marches-higher/","eventTerms":["high"],"relevance":"subject-line-term","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"}]},"record":{"label":"The record itself","basis":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting","documents":484,"outlets":99,"activeDays":57,"firstSeen":"2026-04-05","firstSeenStatus":"observed","firstSeenNote":null,"lastSeen":"2026-08-21","lastSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeenNote":null,"homeDomains":["crypto_defi","prediction_markets"],"asserts":{"utterance":85,"price-threshold":23,"acquisition":13,"launch-release":13,"econ-release":7,"military-action":6},"assertionCoverage":0.341,"movesWith":[{"name":"crypto","together":233,"sharedDomains":["crypto_defi"]},{"name":"ethereum","together":106,"sharedDomains":["crypto_defi"]},{"name":"treasury","together":90,"sharedDomains":["crypto_defi"]},{"name":"sec","together":47,"sharedDomains":["crypto_defi"]},{"name":"coinbase","together":46,"sharedDomains":["crypto_defi"]},{"name":"etfs","together":42,"sharedDomains":["crypto_defi"]},{"name":"ai","together":71},{"name":"trump","together":48}],"movesWithLabels":["crypto","ethereum","treasury","sec","coinbase","etfs","ai","trump"],"provenance":"curated"},"coverageMetric":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"rising","baselineRelativePct":55,"reading":"Our coverage of Bitcoin price levels is 55% above its 3-week baseline. This measures our attention — how much our tracked set is writing about it — not the event itself.","trackedDays":103,"eventMentions":42425,"periods":[{"period":"2027-12","mentions":4},{"period":"2027-09","mentions":4},{"period":"2027-06","mentions":4},{"period":"2027-03","mentions":4},{"period":"2026-12","mentions":45},{"period":"2026-09","mentions":2},{"period":"2026-08","mentions":42319},{"period":"2026","mentions":43}]},"market":{"label":"Market expectation","basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred","rowsStatus":"observed","rowsNote":null,"current":[{"question":"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 25?","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-august-25-2026","source":"Polymarket (ai-tech)","probabilityPct":61,"change24hPct":52.9,"pricedAt":null,"capturedAt":"2026-08-19","deadline":"2026-08-25","deadlinePassed":false,"reading":"belief, not fact"},{"question":"Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 August 17-23?","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-august-17-23-2026","source":"Polymarket (ai-tech)","probabilityPct":2,"change24hPct":-47,"pricedAt":null,"capturedAt":"2026-08-18","deadline":null,"deadlinePassed":false,"reading":"belief, not fact"}],"arc":[],"eventArc":{"name":"Bitcoin price levels","slug":"bitcoin-price-level","questionCount":24,"questions":["Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027?","Bitcoin above 65,000 on July 31, 8PM ET?","Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?"],"mentions":42425,"firstSeen":"2026-05-24","firstSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeen":"2026-08-21","lastSeenStatus":"observed","stampNote":null}},"judgment":{"label":"Our reading","basis":"derived judgment — our reading over the layers above; ours, and labeled ours","asOf":"2026-08-22","text":"A standard-tier record keeps its layers apart and does not collapse them. Lead subject \"bitcoin\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Bitcoin price levels\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity. Our coverage metric measures our attention; the reporting is attributed, not verified against first-party issuers; the market layer prices belief, not fact. Reading any single layer as \"the answer\" is how a machine gets this wrong — and this record's honest limit is stated in its tier: no primary-source layer exists here yet."},"consensus":{"label":"Reporting consensus","basis":"retroactive claims ledger — kernel facts scored by independent-chain agreement","pending":true,"note":"No claims ledger has been computed for this subject yet — consensus scoring is full-tier machinery."},"stateHistory":{"label":"State history","basis":"recorded transitions — never edited after the fact","status":"recorded","note":null,"transitions":[{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"steady","at":"2026-08-18T15:06:56.513447+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-17T15:02:47.105972+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"steady","to":"rising","at":"2026-08-20T15:10:27.094198+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-18T15:06:56.513447+00:00"}]}}}