{"schema":"sb.truth.v1","subject":"diplomacy-china","title":"The Diplomacy: China record","tier":"standard","tierNote":"Standard-tier record, generated from the maintained event registry: reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation, and state history. No primary-source layer yet — first-party issuer verification is what upgrades a record to full tier, the discipline the hormuz record demonstrates.","subjectBinding":{"entity":"china","bound":true,"basis":"named-in-subject","statement":"Lead subject \"china\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Diplomacy: China\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity.","candidatesConsidered":["china"],"alsoDefensible":[],"rejected":[],"actionClass":null},"publishState":"published","publishStateNote":null,"asOf":"2026-08-31","generatedAt":"2026-08-31T18:05:06.860524+00:00","tracked":true,"access":"Free — no key, no charge. Serves at GET /api/truth/diplomacy-china and answers the get_truth_object MCP tool. (No exhibit page for standard-tier records yet — the API and MCP responses ARE the record.)","attribution":"Cite 'Signal Bureau' with https://sigb.ai/api/truth/diplomacy-china so readers can verify.","layers":{"primarySources":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[]},"reporting":{"label":"Observed reporting","basis":"attributed sources — outside coverage in our tracked set; verify at the source. Prediction-market question pages are excluded: a venue question is not journalism, whoever hosts it. Filtered for EVENT relevance, not just subject: a row is served only if it names \"china\" AND carries a term from this record's own subject line, or two terms from its market-question set. The subject's name alone is the key its corpus was sampled on, so it proves nothing about this event — each served row names the terms it matched in eventTerms.","status":"none-event-relevant","note":"Measured zero after event-relevance filtering: we sampled 13 attributable rows for \"china\" and not one could be shown to be about \"Diplomacy: China\" — each carried the subject's name and nothing else this record is about. They are withheld rather than served: a subject's general coverage is not this event's reporting, and serving it under this record's label would be worse than serving nothing. That is a count, not a gap.","sampledForSubject":13,"served":0,"withheldNotEventRelevant":13,"relevanceTerms":{"subjectLine":["diplomacy"],"questionSet":[]},"items":[]},"record":{"label":"The record itself","basis":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting","documents":2323,"outlets":314,"activeDays":102,"firstSeen":"2026-03-05","firstSeenStatus":"observed","firstSeenNote":null,"lastSeen":null,"lastSeenStatus":"withheld-future-dated","lastSeenNote":"unmeasured — the lastSeen stamp on this subject read 2026-10-01, which is after today (2026-08-31). A document we have not reached yet cannot be one we have seen, so the stamp is withheld rather than clamped: a clamped date would be a fabricated observation. The cause is a forward-dated publisher field (a grant's period-of-performance start, a journal's ahead-of-print issue date) reaching our \"when we saw it\" axis. This is neither a real date nor a measured zero.","homeDomains":["auto"],"asserts":{"sanction-trade":113,"disaster":104,"launch-release":88,"utterance":87,"meeting-visit":60,"military-action":51},"assertionCoverage":0.279,"movesWith":[{"name":"ai","together":621,"sharedDomains":["auto"],"verbs":{"meeting-visit":5}},{"name":"iran","together":451,"verbs":{"sanction-trade":21}},{"name":"nvidia","together":200,"sharedDomains":["auto"]},{"name":"microsoft","together":197,"sharedDomains":["auto"]},{"name":"russia","together":367},{"name":"trump","together":335,"verbs":{"sanction-trade":17,"meeting-visit":3}},{"name":"united states","together":309},{"name":"india","together":226,"verbs":{"meeting-visit":6}}],"movesWithLabels":["ai","iran","nvidia","microsoft","russia","trump","united states","india"],"provenance":"curated"},"coverageMetric":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"steady","baselineRelativePct":-8,"reading":"Our coverage of Diplomacy: China is 8% below its 3-week baseline. This measures our attention — how much our tracked set is writing about it — not the event itself.","trackedDays":112,"eventMentions":18,"periods":[{"period":"2026-08","mentions":18}]},"market":{"label":"Market expectation","basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred","rowsStatus":"none-captured","rowsNote":"Measured zero: no priced capture rides \"china\" in this build.","current":[],"arc":[],"eventArc":{"name":"Diplomacy: China","slug":"diplomacy-china","questionCount":0,"questions":[],"mentions":18,"firstSeen":"2026-08-06","firstSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeen":"2026-08-06","lastSeenStatus":"observed","stampNote":null}},"judgment":{"label":"Our reading","basis":"derived judgment — our reading over the layers above; ours, and labeled ours","asOf":"2026-08-31","text":"A standard-tier record keeps its layers apart and does not collapse them. Lead subject \"china\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Diplomacy: China\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity. Our coverage metric measures our attention; the reporting is attributed, not verified against first-party issuers; the market layer prices belief, not fact. Reading any single layer as \"the answer\" is how a machine gets this wrong — and this record's honest limit is stated in its tier: no primary-source layer exists here yet."},"consensus":{"label":"Reporting consensus","basis":"retroactive claims ledger — kernel facts scored by independent-chain agreement","pending":true,"note":"No claims ledger has been computed for this subject yet — consensus scoring is full-tier machinery.","retired":[]},"stateHistory":{"label":"State history","basis":"recorded transitions — never edited after the fact","status":"recorded","note":null,"transitions":[{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"steady","at":"2026-08-31T15:05:22.273998+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-19T15:07:45.991325+00:00"}]}}}