{"schema":"sb.truth.v1","subject":"economic-indicator-unemployment","title":"The Economic indicator: Unemployment record","tier":"standard","tierNote":"Standard-tier record, generated from the maintained event registry: reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation, and state history. No primary-source layer yet — first-party issuer verification is what upgrades a record to full tier, the discipline the hormuz record demonstrates.","subjectBinding":{"entity":"unemployment","bound":true,"basis":"named-in-subject","statement":"Lead subject \"unemployment\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Economic indicator: Unemployment\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity.","candidatesConsidered":["unemployment"],"alsoDefensible":[],"rejected":[],"actionClass":"econ-release"},"publishState":"published","publishStateNote":null,"asOf":"2026-08-22","generatedAt":"2026-08-22T23:27:49.197705+00:00","tracked":false,"access":"Free — no key, no charge. Serves at GET /api/truth/economic-indicator-unemployment and answers the get_truth_object MCP tool. (No exhibit page for standard-tier records yet — the API and MCP responses ARE the record.)","attribution":"Cite 'Signal Bureau' with https://signalbureau.ai/api/truth/economic-indicator-unemployment so readers can verify.","layers":{"primarySources":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[]},"reporting":{"label":"Observed reporting","basis":"attributed sources — outside coverage in our tracked set; verify at the source. Prediction-market question pages are excluded: a venue question is not journalism, whoever hosts it. Filtered for EVENT relevance, not just subject: a row is served only if it names \"unemployment\" AND carries a term from this record's own subject line, or two terms from its market-question set. The subject's name alone is the key its corpus was sampled on, so it proves nothing about this event — each served row names the terms it matched in eventTerms.","status":"subject-not-in-tracked-entity-set","note":"unmeasured — \"unemployment\" is this record's subject, but it is not in the current tracked-entity set, so we hold no sampled coverage to attribute. This is not a measured zero.","sampledForSubject":0,"served":0,"withheldNotEventRelevant":0,"relevanceTerms":{"subjectLine":["economic","indicator"],"questionSet":["canada","highest","since","2016","year","august","reach","least"]},"items":[]},"record":{"label":"The record itself","basis":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting","documents":135,"outlets":72,"activeDays":26,"firstSeen":"2026-03-06","firstSeenStatus":"observed","firstSeenNote":null,"lastSeen":"2026-08-21","lastSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeenNote":null,"homeDomains":[],"asserts":{"econ-release":16,"utterance":6,"price-threshold":3,"acquisition":2,"rate-decision":2,"meeting-visit":2},"assertionCoverage":0.259,"movesWith":[{"name":"ai","together":36},{"name":"inflation","together":34},{"name":"gdp","together":22},{"name":"housing","together":22},{"name":"interest rates","together":21},{"name":"oil","together":20},{"name":"federal reserve","together":19},{"name":"iran","together":18}],"movesWithLabels":["ai","inflation","gdp","housing","interest rates","oil","federal reserve","iran"],"provenance":"curated"},"coverageMetric":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"steady","baselineRelativePct":null,"reading":"History still too thin for a baseline; day-over-day read.","trackedDays":null,"eventMentions":406,"periods":[{"period":"2027","mentions":43},{"period":"2026-08","mentions":147},{"period":"2026","mentions":216}]},"market":{"label":"Market expectation","basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred","rowsStatus":"subject-not-in-tracked-entity-set","rowsNote":"unmeasured — \"unemployment\" is this record's subject, but it is not in the current tracked-entity set, so we hold no sampled coverage to attribute. This is not a measured zero.","current":[],"arc":[],"eventArc":{"name":"Economic indicator: Unemployment","slug":"economic-indicator-unemployment","questionCount":15,"questions":["Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?","Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be ≤3.8%?","Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?"],"mentions":406,"firstSeen":"2026-05-24","firstSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeen":"2026-08-07","lastSeenStatus":"observed","stampNote":null}},"judgment":{"label":"Our reading","basis":"derived judgment — our reading over the layers above; ours, and labeled ours","asOf":"2026-08-22","text":"A standard-tier record keeps its layers apart and does not collapse them. Lead subject \"unemployment\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Economic indicator: Unemployment\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity. Our coverage metric measures our attention; the reporting is attributed, not verified against first-party issuers; the market layer prices belief, not fact. Reading any single layer as \"the answer\" is how a machine gets this wrong — and this record's honest limit is stated in its tier: no primary-source layer exists here yet."},"consensus":{"label":"Reporting consensus","basis":"retroactive claims ledger — kernel facts scored by independent-chain agreement","pending":true,"note":"No claims ledger has been computed for this subject yet — consensus scoring is full-tier machinery."},"stateHistory":{"label":"State history","basis":"recorded transitions — never edited after the fact","status":"none-recorded","note":"Measured zero: the ledger holds no coverage-state transition for \"unemployment\". We do not backfill history we did not record.","transitions":[]}}}