{"schema":"sb.truth.v1","subject":"election-darline-graham-graham","title":"The Election: Darline Graham & Graham record","tier":"standard","tierNote":"Standard-tier record, generated from the maintained event registry: reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation, and state history. No primary-source layer yet — first-party issuer verification is what upgrades a record to full tier, the discipline the hormuz record demonstrates.","subjectBinding":{"entity":"darline graham","bound":true,"basis":"named-in-subject","statement":"Lead subject \"darline graham\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Election: Darline Graham & Graham\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity. Not bound: senate, south carolina — the registry attaches them to this event, but the subject line does not name them.","candidatesConsidered":["darline graham","graham","senate","south carolina"],"alsoDefensible":["graham"],"rejected":["senate","south carolina"],"actionClass":"election"},"publishState":"published","publishStateNote":null,"asOf":"2026-08-29","generatedAt":"2026-08-29T16:01:54.942135+00:00","tracked":true,"access":"Free — no key, no charge. Serves at GET /api/truth/election-darline-graham-graham and answers the get_truth_object MCP tool. (No exhibit page for standard-tier records yet — the API and MCP responses ARE the record.)","attribution":"Cite 'Signal Bureau' with https://signalbureau.ai/api/truth/election-darline-graham-graham so readers can verify.","layers":{"primarySources":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[]},"reporting":{"label":"Observed reporting","basis":"attributed sources — outside coverage in our tracked set; verify at the source. Prediction-market question pages are excluded: a venue question is not journalism, whoever hosts it. Filtered for EVENT relevance, not just subject: a row is served only if it names \"darline graham\" AND carries a term from this record's own subject line, or two terms from its market-question set. The subject's name alone is the key its corpus was sampled on, so it proves nothing about this event — each served row names the terms it matched in eventTerms.","status":"none-sampled","note":"Measured zero: \"darline graham\" IS in the tracked set and we sampled no attributable coverage for it in this build. That is a count, not a gap.","sampledForSubject":0,"served":0,"withheldNotEventRelevant":0,"relevanceTerms":{"subjectLine":["election"],"questionSet":["nordone","first","round","south","carolina","republican","senate","special","primary","least","votes","runoff"]},"items":[]},"record":{"label":"The record itself","basis":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting","documents":28,"outlets":11,"activeDays":9,"firstSeen":"2026-07-24","firstSeenStatus":"observed","firstSeenNote":null,"lastSeen":"2026-08-28","lastSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeenNote":null,"homeDomains":["us_elections_2028","world_wires"],"asserts":{"election":6,"utterance":2,"sanction-trade":1},"assertionCoverage":0.321,"movesWith":[{"name":"south carolina","together":21,"sharedDomains":["us_elections_2028"]},{"name":"graham","together":15,"sharedDomains":["us_elections_2028"]},{"name":"r-s.c","together":14,"sharedDomains":["us_elections_2028"]},{"name":"lindsey graham","together":12,"sharedDomains":["us_elections_2028"]},{"name":"trump","together":24},{"name":"senate","together":23}],"movesWithLabels":["south carolina","graham","r-s.c","lindsey graham","trump","senate"],"provenance":"observed"},"coverageMetric":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"insufficient_history","baselineRelativePct":null,"reading":"History still too thin for a baseline; day-over-day read.","trackedDays":null,"eventMentions":30,"periods":[{"period":"2026","mentions":30}]},"market":{"label":"Market expectation","basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred","rowsStatus":"observed","rowsNote":null,"current":[{"question":"Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-winner-20260712135206676","source":"Polymarket (us-politics)","probabilityPct":59,"change24hPct":-15,"pricedAt":null,"capturedAt":"2026-07-30","deadline":null,"deadlinePassed":false,"reading":"belief, not fact"},{"question":"Will Darline Graham Nordone win Lexington County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-runoff-lexington-county-winner","source":"Polymarket (us-politics)","probabilityPct":96,"change24hPct":24.7,"pricedAt":null,"capturedAt":"2026-08-22","deadline":null,"deadlinePassed":false,"reading":"belief, not fact"},{"question":"Will Darline Graham Nordone win Richland County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-runoff-richland-county-winner","source":"Polymarket (us-politics)","probabilityPct":88,"change24hPct":24,"pricedAt":null,"capturedAt":"2026-08-22","deadline":null,"deadlinePassed":false,"reading":"belief, not fact"},{"question":"Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-senate-special-republican-primary-first-round-winner-20260721172033648","source":"Polymarket (us-politics)","probabilityPct":66,"change24hPct":-16.5,"pricedAt":null,"capturedAt":"2026-08-07","deadline":null,"deadlinePassed":false,"reading":"belief, not fact"}],"arc":[],"eventArc":{"name":"Election: Darline Graham & Graham","slug":"election-darline-graham-graham","questionCount":12,"questions":["Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?","Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary by at least 20%?","Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary by 15–20%?","Will Darline Graham win at least 30% of votes in the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff?"],"mentions":30,"firstSeen":"2026-07-23","firstSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeen":"2026-08-25","lastSeenStatus":"observed","stampNote":null}},"judgment":{"label":"Our reading","basis":"derived judgment — our reading over the layers above; ours, and labeled ours","asOf":"2026-08-29","text":"A standard-tier record keeps its layers apart and does not collapse them. Lead subject \"darline graham\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Election: Darline Graham & Graham\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity. Not bound: senate, south carolina — the registry attaches them to this event, but the subject line does not name them. Our coverage metric measures our attention; the reporting is attributed, not verified against first-party issuers; the market layer prices belief, not fact. Reading any single layer as \"the answer\" is how a machine gets this wrong — and this record's honest limit is stated in its tier: no primary-source layer exists here yet."},"consensus":{"label":"Reporting consensus","basis":"retroactive claims ledger — kernel facts scored by independent-chain agreement","pending":true,"note":"No claims ledger has been computed for this subject yet — consensus scoring is full-tier machinery."},"stateHistory":{"label":"State history","basis":"recorded transitions — never edited after the fact","status":"none-recorded","note":"Measured zero: the ledger holds no coverage-state transition for \"darline graham\". We do not backfill history we did not record.","transitions":[]}}}