{"schema":"sb.truth.v1","subject":"election-france-senate","title":"The Election: France & Senate record","tier":"standard","tierNote":"Standard-tier record, generated from the maintained event registry: reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation, and state history. No primary-source layer yet — first-party issuer verification is what upgrades a record to full tier, the discipline the hormuz record demonstrates.","subjectBinding":{"entity":"france","bound":true,"basis":"named-in-subject","statement":"Lead subject \"france\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Election: France & Senate\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity.","candidatesConsidered":["france","senate"],"alsoDefensible":["senate"],"rejected":[],"actionClass":"election"},"publishState":"published","publishStateNote":null,"asOf":"2026-08-21","generatedAt":"2026-08-21T16:07:00.002085+00:00","tracked":true,"access":"Free — no key, no charge. Serves at GET /api/truth/election-france-senate and answers the get_truth_object MCP tool. (No exhibit page for standard-tier records yet — the API and MCP responses ARE the record.)","attribution":"Cite 'Signal Bureau' with https://signalbureau.ai/api/truth/election-france-senate so readers can verify.","layers":{"primarySources":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[]},"reporting":{"label":"Observed reporting","basis":"attributed sources — outside coverage in our tracked set; verify at the source. 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This measures our attention — how much our tracked set is writing about it — not the event itself.","trackedDays":14,"eventMentions":40,"periods":[{"period":"2026","mentions":40}]},"market":{"label":"Market expectation","basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred","rowsStatus":"observed","rowsNote":null,"current":[{"question":"Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-summer-2026-be-frances-hottest-summer-on-record-1786459847288","source":"Polymarket (us-politics)","probabilityPct":94,"change24hPct":42,"pricedAt":null,"capturedAt":"2026-08-13","deadline":null,"deadlinePassed":false,"reading":"belief, not fact"}],"arc":[],"eventArc":{"name":"Election: France & Senate","slug":"election-france-senate","questionCount":12,"questions":["Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?","Will the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?"],"mentions":40,"firstSeen":"2026-06-25","firstSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeen":"2026-08-20","lastSeenStatus":"observed","stampNote":null}},"judgment":{"label":"Our reading","basis":"derived judgment — our reading over the layers above; ours, and labeled ours","asOf":"2026-08-21","text":"A standard-tier record keeps its layers apart and does not collapse them. Lead subject \"france\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Election: France & Senate\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity. Our coverage metric measures our attention; the reporting is attributed, not verified against first-party issuers; the market layer prices belief, not fact. Reading any single layer as \"the answer\" is how a machine gets this wrong — and this record's honest limit is stated in its tier: no primary-source layer exists here yet."},"consensus":{"label":"Reporting consensus","basis":"retroactive claims ledger — kernel facts scored by independent-chain agreement","pending":true,"note":"No claims ledger has been computed for this subject yet — consensus scoring is full-tier machinery."},"stateHistory":{"label":"State history","basis":"recorded transitions — never edited after the fact","status":"recorded","note":null,"transitions":[{"field":"coverage state","from":"steady","to":"fading","at":"2026-08-18T15:06:56.513447+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-16T14:55:51.532509+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"fading","to":"rising","at":"2026-08-19T15:07:45.991325+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-18T15:06:56.513447+00:00"}]}}}