{"schema":"sb.truth.v1","subject":"election-hong-wisconsin","title":"The Election: Hong & Wisconsin record","tier":"standard","tierNote":"Standard-tier record, generated from the maintained event registry: reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation, and state history. No primary-source layer yet — first-party issuer verification is what upgrades a record to full tier, the discipline the hormuz record demonstrates.","asOf":"2026-08-17","generatedAt":"2026-08-17T15:02:47.105972+00:00","tracked":true,"access":"Free — no key, no charge. Serves at GET /api/truth/election-hong-wisconsin and answers the get_truth_object MCP tool. (No exhibit page for standard-tier records yet — the API and MCP responses ARE the record.)","attribution":"Cite 'Signal Bureau' with https://signalbureau.ai/api/truth/election-hong-wisconsin so readers can verify.","layers":{"primarySources":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[]},"reporting":{"label":"Observed reporting","basis":"attributed sources — outside coverage in our tracked set; verify at the source","items":[]},"record":{"label":"The record itself","basis":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting","documents":163,"outlets":73,"activeDays":31,"firstSeen":"2026-06-10","lastSeen":"2026-08-16","homeDomains":[],"asserts":{"ipo-listing":12,"election":7,"sanction-trade":5,"utterance":5,"launch-release":4,"sports-outcome":3},"assertionCoverage":0.264,"movesWith":[{"label":"china","n":67,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"ai","n":39,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"korea","n":28,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"japan","n":23,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"south korea","n":22,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"united states","n":20,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"aug","n":19,"sharedDomains":[]},{"label":"india","n":18,"sharedDomains":[]}],"provenance":"observed"},"coverageMetric":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"new","baselineRelativePct":null,"reading":"History still too thin for a baseline; day-over-day read.","trackedDays":1,"eventMentions":25,"periods":[{"period":"2026","mentions":25}]},"market":{"label":"Market expectation","basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred","current":[],"arc":[],"eventArc":{"name":"Election: Hong & Wisconsin","slug":"election-hong-wisconsin","questionCount":12,"questions":["Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?","Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?","Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 25–30%?","Will Francesca Hong win Kenosha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?"],"mentions":25,"firstSeen":"2026-07-04","lastSeen":"2026-08-12"}},"judgment":{"label":"Our reading","basis":"derived judgment — our reading over the layers above; ours, and labeled ours","asOf":"2026-08-17","text":"A standard-tier record keeps its layers apart and does not collapse them. Our coverage metric measures our attention; the reporting is attributed, not verified against first-party issuers; the market layer prices belief, not fact. Reading any single layer as \"the answer\" is how a machine gets this wrong — and this record's honest limit is stated in its tier: no primary-source layer exists here yet."},"consensus":{"label":"Reporting consensus","basis":"retroactive claims ledger — kernel facts scored by independent-chain agreement","pending":true,"note":"No claims ledger has been computed for this subject yet — consensus scoring is full-tier machinery."},"stateHistory":{"label":"State history","basis":"recorded transitions — never edited after the fact","transitions":[]}}}