{"schema":"sb.truth.v1","subject":"election-michael","title":"The Election: Michael record","tier":"standard","tierNote":"Standard-tier record, generated from the maintained event registry: reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation, and state history. No primary-source layer yet — first-party issuer verification is what upgrades a record to full tier, the discipline the hormuz record demonstrates.","asOf":"2026-08-18","generatedAt":"2026-08-18T16:02:28.400928+00:00","tracked":true,"access":"Free — no key, no charge. Serves at GET /api/truth/election-michael and answers the get_truth_object MCP tool. (No exhibit page for standard-tier records yet — the API and MCP responses ARE the record.)","attribution":"Cite 'Signal Bureau' with https://signalbureau.ai/api/truth/election-michael so readers can verify.","layers":{"primarySources":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[]},"reporting":{"label":"Observed reporting","basis":"attributed sources — outside coverage in our tracked set; verify at the source","items":[]},"record":null,"coverageMetric":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"steady","baselineRelativePct":null,"reading":"History still too thin for a baseline; day-over-day read.","trackedDays":null,"eventMentions":22,"periods":[{"period":"2026","mentions":22}]},"market":{"label":"Market expectation","basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred","current":[],"arc":[],"eventArc":{"name":"Election: Michael","slug":"election-michael","questionCount":11,"questions":["Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?","Will Michael Minogue win the 2026 Massachusetts Governor Republican primary election?","Will Michael Foust win the Tallahassee mayoral election?","Will Michael Ford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?","Will Michael Tubbs win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?","Will Michael Baumgartner advance to the general election for WA-05?"],"mentions":22,"firstSeen":"2026-07-04","lastSeen":"2026-08-12"}},"judgment":{"label":"Our reading","basis":"derived judgment — our reading over the layers above; ours, and labeled ours","asOf":"2026-08-18","text":"A standard-tier record keeps its layers apart and does not collapse them. Our coverage metric measures our attention; the reporting is attributed, not verified against first-party issuers; the market layer prices belief, not fact. Reading any single layer as \"the answer\" is how a machine gets this wrong — and this record's honest limit is stated in its tier: no primary-source layer exists here yet."},"consensus":{"label":"Reporting consensus","basis":"retroactive claims ledger — kernel facts scored by independent-chain agreement","pending":true,"note":"No claims ledger has been computed for this subject yet — consensus scoring is full-tier machinery."},"stateHistory":{"label":"State history","basis":"recorded transitions — never edited after the fact","transitions":[]}}}