{"schema":"sb.truth.v1","subject":"election-swedish","title":"The Election: Swedish record","tier":"standard","tierNote":"Standard-tier record, generated from the maintained event registry: reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation, and state history. No primary-source layer yet — first-party issuer verification is what upgrades a record to full tier, the discipline the hormuz record demonstrates.","subjectBinding":{"entity":"swedish","bound":true,"basis":"named-in-subject","statement":"Lead subject \"swedish\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Election: Swedish\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity.","candidatesConsidered":["swedish"],"alsoDefensible":[],"rejected":[],"actionClass":"election"},"publishState":"published","publishStateNote":null,"asOf":"2026-08-30","generatedAt":"2026-08-30T15:08:25.442508+00:00","tracked":true,"access":"Free — no key, no charge. Serves at GET /api/truth/election-swedish and answers the get_truth_object MCP tool. (No exhibit page for standard-tier records yet — the API and MCP responses ARE the record.)","attribution":"Cite 'Signal Bureau' with https://signalbureau.ai/api/truth/election-swedish so readers can verify.","layers":{"primarySources":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[]},"reporting":{"label":"Observed reporting","basis":"attributed sources — outside coverage in our tracked set; verify at the source. Prediction-market question pages are excluded: a venue question is not journalism, whoever hosts it. Filtered for EVENT relevance, not just subject: a row is served only if it names \"swedish\" AND carries a term from this record's own subject line, or two terms from its market-question set. The subject's name alone is the key its corpus was sampled on, so it proves nothing about this event — each served row names the terms it matched in eventTerms.","status":"none-event-relevant","note":"Measured zero after event-relevance filtering: we sampled 7 attributable rows for \"swedish\" and not one could be shown to be about \"Election: Swedish\" — each carried the subject's name and nothing else this record is about. They are withheld rather than served: a subject's general coverage is not this event's reporting, and serving it under this record's label would be worse than serving nothing. That is a count, not a gap.","sampledForSubject":7,"served":0,"withheldNotEventRelevant":7,"relevanceTerms":{"subjectLine":["election"],"questionSet":["parliamentary","votes","under"]},"items":[]},"record":{"label":"The record itself","basis":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting","documents":213,"outlets":95,"activeDays":28,"firstSeen":"2026-03-11","firstSeenStatus":"observed","firstSeenNote":null,"lastSeen":"2026-08-29","lastSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeenNote":null,"homeDomains":["europe_politics"],"asserts":{"launch-release":9,"acquisition":9,"military-action":7,"election":6,"meeting-visit":6,"price-threshold":3},"assertionCoverage":0.249,"movesWith":[{"name":"germany","together":55,"sharedDomains":["europe_politics"]},{"name":"finland","together":48,"sharedDomains":["europe_politics"]},{"name":"norway","together":45,"sharedDomains":["europe_politics"]},{"name":"france","together":40,"sharedDomains":["europe_politics"]},{"name":"european union","together":38,"sharedDomains":["europe_politics"]},{"name":"denmark","together":31,"sharedDomains":["europe_politics"]},{"name":"spanish","together":30,"sharedDomains":["europe_politics"]},{"name":"netherlands","together":28,"sharedDomains":["europe_politics"]}],"movesWithLabels":["germany","finland","norway","france","european union","denmark","spanish","netherlands"],"provenance":"curated"},"coverageMetric":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"new","baselineRelativePct":null,"reading":"History still too thin for a baseline; day-over-day read.","trackedDays":1,"eventMentions":49,"periods":[{"period":"2026-08","mentions":12},{"period":"2026","mentions":37}]},"market":{"label":"Market expectation","basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred","rowsStatus":"observed","rowsNote":null,"current":[{"question":"Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-parties-will-be-in-next-swedish-government","source":"Polymarket (us-politics)","probabilityPct":20,"change24hPct":-45.5,"pricedAt":null,"capturedAt":"2026-08-21","deadline":null,"deadlinePassed":false,"reading":"belief, not fact"},{"question":"Will the Green Party (MP) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sweden-parliamentary-election-4th-place-20260812164320100","source":"Polymarket (ai-tech)","probabilityPct":16,"change24hPct":-26.5,"pricedAt":null,"capturedAt":"2026-08-15","deadline":null,"deadlinePassed":false,"reading":"belief, not fact"}],"arc":[],"eventArc":{"name":"Election: Swedish","slug":"election-swedish","questionCount":24,"questions":["Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?","Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to V or C?","Sweden Parliamentary Election: C Over/Under 6%?","Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Over/Under 7%?","Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to V or KD?","Sweden Parliamentary Election: SD Over/Under 19%?"],"mentions":49,"firstSeen":"2026-07-17","firstSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeen":"2026-08-27","lastSeenStatus":"observed","stampNote":null}},"judgment":{"label":"Our reading","basis":"derived judgment — our reading over the layers above; ours, and labeled ours","asOf":"2026-08-30","text":"A standard-tier record keeps its layers apart and does not collapse them. Lead subject \"swedish\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Election: Swedish\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity. Our coverage metric measures our attention; the reporting is attributed, not verified against first-party issuers; the market layer prices belief, not fact. Reading any single layer as \"the answer\" is how a machine gets this wrong — and this record's honest limit is stated in its tier: no primary-source layer exists here yet."},"consensus":{"label":"Reporting consensus","basis":"retroactive claims ledger — kernel facts scored by independent-chain agreement","pending":true,"note":"No claims ledger has been computed for this subject yet — consensus scoring is full-tier machinery.","retired":[]},"stateHistory":{"label":"State history","basis":"recorded transitions — never edited after the fact","status":"recorded","note":null,"transitions":[{"field":"coverage state","from":"insufficient_history","to":"new","at":"2026-08-30T15:08:25.442508+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-30T04:58:44.769155+00:00"},{"field":"wire tier","from":"watch","to":"flagged","at":"2026-08-30T15:08:25.442508+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-30T04:58:44.769155+00:00"}]}}}