{"schema":"sb.truth.v1","subject":"election-victoria","title":"The Election: Victoria record","tier":"standard","tierNote":"Standard-tier record, generated from the maintained event registry: reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation, and state history. No primary-source layer yet — first-party issuer verification is what upgrades a record to full tier, the discipline the hormuz record demonstrates.","subjectBinding":{"entity":"victoria","bound":true,"basis":"named-in-subject","statement":"Lead subject \"victoria\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Election: Victoria\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity.","candidatesConsidered":["victoria"],"alsoDefensible":[],"rejected":[],"actionClass":"election"},"publishState":"published","publishStateNote":null,"asOf":"2026-08-29","generatedAt":"2026-08-29T16:01:54.942135+00:00","tracked":true,"access":"Free — no key, no charge. Serves at GET /api/truth/election-victoria and answers the get_truth_object MCP tool. (No exhibit page for standard-tier records yet — the API and MCP responses ARE the record.)","attribution":"Cite 'Signal Bureau' with https://signalbureau.ai/api/truth/election-victoria so readers can verify.","layers":{"primarySources":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[]},"reporting":{"label":"Observed reporting","basis":"attributed sources — outside coverage in our tracked set; verify at the source. Prediction-market question pages are excluded: a venue question is not journalism, whoever hosts it. Filtered for EVENT relevance, not just subject: a row is served only if it names \"victoria\" AND carries a term from this record's own subject line, or two terms from its market-question set. The subject's name alone is the key its corpus was sampled on, so it proves nothing about this event — each served row names the terms it matched in eventTerms.","status":"subject-not-in-tracked-entity-set","note":"unmeasured — \"victoria\" is this record's subject, but it is not in the current tracked-entity set, so we hold no sampled coverage to attribute. This is not a measured zero.","sampledForSubject":0,"served":0,"withheldNotEventRelevant":0,"relevanceTerms":{"subjectLine":["election"],"questionSet":["villarruel","argentina","presidential","marianne","alto","mayoral","melissa","cseszko","labor","seats","state"]},"items":[]},"record":{"label":"The record itself","basis":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting","documents":94,"outlets":47,"activeDays":18,"firstSeen":"2026-05-21","firstSeenStatus":"observed","firstSeenNote":null,"lastSeen":null,"lastSeenStatus":"withheld-future-dated","lastSeenNote":"unmeasured — the lastSeen stamp on this subject read 2026-09-03, which is after today (2026-08-29). A document we have not reached yet cannot be one we have seen, so the stamp is withheld rather than clamped: a clamped date would be a fabricated observation. The cause is a forward-dated publisher field (a grant's period-of-performance start, a journal's ahead-of-print issue date) reaching our \"when we saw it\" axis. This is neither a real date nor a measured zero.","homeDomains":["australia"],"asserts":null,"assertionCoverage":0.17,"movesWith":[{"name":"australia","together":37,"sharedDomains":["australia"]},{"name":"melbourne","together":15,"sharedDomains":["australia"]},{"name":"sydney","together":11,"sharedDomains":["australia"]},{"name":"queensland","together":8,"sharedDomains":["australia"]},{"name":"london","together":12},{"name":"climate","together":10},{"name":"ai","together":8}],"movesWithLabels":["australia","melbourne","sydney","queensland","london","climate","ai"],"provenance":"curated"},"coverageMetric":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"steady","baselineRelativePct":null,"reading":"History still too thin for a baseline; day-over-day read.","trackedDays":null,"eventMentions":52,"periods":[{"period":"2027","mentions":7},{"period":"2026","mentions":45}]},"market":{"label":"Market expectation","basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred","rowsStatus":"subject-not-in-tracked-entity-set","rowsNote":"unmeasured — \"victoria\" is this record's subject, but it is not in the current tracked-entity set, so we hold no sampled coverage to attribute. This is not a measured zero.","current":[],"arc":[],"eventArc":{"name":"Election: Victoria","slug":"election-victoria","questionCount":13,"questions":["Will Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?","Will Marianne Alto win the 2026 Victoria mayoral election?","Will Melissa Cseszko win the 2026 Victoria mayoral election?","Will Labor win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?"],"mentions":52,"firstSeen":"2026-07-04","firstSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeen":"2026-08-25","lastSeenStatus":"observed","stampNote":null}},"judgment":{"label":"Our reading","basis":"derived judgment — our reading over the layers above; ours, and labeled ours","asOf":"2026-08-29","text":"A standard-tier record keeps its layers apart and does not collapse them. Lead subject \"victoria\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Election: Victoria\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity. Our coverage metric measures our attention; the reporting is attributed, not verified against first-party issuers; the market layer prices belief, not fact. Reading any single layer as \"the answer\" is how a machine gets this wrong — and this record's honest limit is stated in its tier: no primary-source layer exists here yet."},"consensus":{"label":"Reporting consensus","basis":"retroactive claims ledger — kernel facts scored by independent-chain agreement","pending":true,"note":"No claims ledger has been computed for this subject yet — consensus scoring is full-tier machinery."},"stateHistory":{"label":"State history","basis":"recorded transitions — never edited after the fact","status":"none-recorded","note":"Measured zero: the ledger holds no coverage-state transition for \"victoria\". We do not backfill history we did not record.","transitions":[]}}}