{"schema":"sb.truth.v1","subject":"military-action-china-taiwan","title":"The Military action: China & Taiwan record","tier":"standard","tierNote":"Standard-tier record, generated from the maintained event registry: reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation, and state history. No primary-source layer yet — first-party issuer verification is what upgrades a record to full tier, the discipline the hormuz record demonstrates.","subjectBinding":{"entity":"china","bound":true,"basis":"named-in-subject","statement":"Lead subject \"china\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Military action: China & Taiwan\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity.","candidatesConsidered":["china","taiwan"],"alsoDefensible":["taiwan"],"rejected":[],"actionClass":"military-action"},"publishState":"published","publishStateNote":null,"asOf":"2026-08-29","generatedAt":"2026-08-29T16:01:54.942135+00:00","tracked":true,"access":"Free — no key, no charge. Serves at GET /api/truth/military-action-china-taiwan and answers the get_truth_object MCP tool. (No exhibit page for standard-tier records yet — the API and MCP responses ARE the record.)","attribution":"Cite 'Signal Bureau' with https://signalbureau.ai/api/truth/military-action-china-taiwan so readers can verify.","layers":{"primarySources":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[]},"reporting":{"label":"Observed reporting","basis":"attributed sources — outside coverage in our tracked set; verify at the source. Prediction-market question pages are excluded: a venue question is not journalism, whoever hosts it. Filtered for EVENT relevance, not just subject: a row is served only if it names \"china\" AND carries a term from this record's own subject line, or two terms from its market-question set. The subject's name alone is the key its corpus was sampled on, so it proves nothing about this event — each served row names the terms it matched in eventTerms.","status":"observed","note":"Event-relevance filtered: 11 attributable rows sampled for \"china\", 2 served, 9 withheld as not shown to be about \"Military action: China & Taiwan\". The served count is reduced on purpose and reported, never quietly smaller.","sampledForSubject":11,"served":2,"withheldNotEventRelevant":9,"relevanceTerms":{"subjectLine":["military","taiwan"],"questionSet":["invade","december","end"]},"items":[{"title":"US military bought commercial satellite images of alleged narco airstrips, Chinese naval fleet","url":"https://www.defenseone.com/technology/2026/08/us-military-bought-commercial-satellite-images-alleged-narco-airstrips-chinese-naval-fleet/415684/","date":null,"source":null,"eventTerms":["military"],"relevance":"subject-line-term","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"Taiwan prosecutors search Unimicron in suspected China fraud case - Reuters","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiuAFBVV95cUxOb0YzamJ1SXlRdnljNkhyOWFlT3MxVWVod3pNdW1JUnE1NzNxSHB1QnZYVGNjNmRPVVlQSXluM2FCcXNfLXd1ZHBOZHhwdHdVU3hyTXh4V0U2NVFnbzd3eDRLZVBpZWh5aXUtTnhXck15S2g1a3dWM1dCQTFPaGFSUV9XZFpQUFNHOHhWZjVMZHltV01oUlNjRkdtSGpVR3k4TXF1RHFJWlZjRXZQcWJGcmNVVUhaQlpB?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en","date":null,"source":null,"eventTerms":["taiwan"],"relevance":"subject-line-term","tier":"social/aggregator","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"}]},"record":{"label":"The record itself","basis":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting","documents":2476,"outlets":330,"activeDays":102,"firstSeen":"2026-03-12","firstSeenStatus":"observed","firstSeenNote":null,"lastSeen":null,"lastSeenStatus":"withheld-future-dated","lastSeenNote":"unmeasured — the lastSeen stamp on this subject read 2026-10-01, which is after today (2026-08-29). A document we have not reached yet cannot be one we have seen, so the stamp is withheld rather than clamped: a clamped date would be a fabricated observation. The cause is a forward-dated publisher field (a grant's period-of-performance start, a journal's ahead-of-print issue date) reaching our \"when we saw it\" axis. This is neither a real date nor a measured zero.","homeDomains":["auto"],"asserts":{"sanction-trade":118,"launch-release":97,"utterance":92,"disaster":78,"meeting-visit":65,"military-action":53},"assertionCoverage":0.265,"movesWith":[{"name":"ai","together":689,"sharedDomains":["auto"],"verbs":{"meeting-visit":4,"sanction-trade":2}},{"name":"iran","together":509,"verbs":{"sanction-trade":20}},{"name":"microsoft","together":213,"sharedDomains":["auto"]},{"name":"russia","together":402},{"name":"trump","together":367,"verbs":{"sanction-trade":15,"meeting-visit":3}},{"name":"united states","together":347},{"name":"aug","together":257},{"name":"oil","together":247,"verbs":{"sanction-trade":4}}],"movesWithLabels":["ai","iran","microsoft","russia","trump","united states","aug","oil"],"provenance":"curated"},"coverageMetric":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"rising","baselineRelativePct":41,"reading":"Our coverage of Military action: China & Taiwan is 41% above its 3-week baseline. This measures our attention — how much our tracked set is writing about it — not the event itself.","trackedDays":110,"eventMentions":169,"periods":[{"period":"2027-12","mentions":42},{"period":"2027-06","mentions":42},{"period":"2026-09","mentions":42},{"period":"2026-08","mentions":1},{"period":"2026","mentions":42}]},"market":{"label":"Market expectation","basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred","rowsStatus":"none-captured","rowsNote":"Measured zero: no priced capture rides \"china\" in this build.","current":[],"arc":[],"eventArc":{"name":"Military action: China & Taiwan","slug":"military-action-china-taiwan","questionCount":4,"questions":["Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?","Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?"],"mentions":169,"firstSeen":"2026-05-27","firstSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeen":"2026-08-24","lastSeenStatus":"observed","stampNote":null}},"judgment":{"label":"Our reading","basis":"derived judgment — our reading over the layers above; ours, and labeled ours","asOf":"2026-08-29","text":"A standard-tier record keeps its layers apart and does not collapse them. Lead subject \"china\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Military action: China & Taiwan\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity. Our coverage metric measures our attention; the reporting is attributed, not verified against first-party issuers; the market layer prices belief, not fact. Reading any single layer as \"the answer\" is how a machine gets this wrong — and this record's honest limit is stated in its tier: no primary-source layer exists here yet."},"consensus":{"label":"Reporting consensus","basis":"retroactive claims ledger — kernel facts scored by independent-chain agreement","pending":true,"note":"No claims ledger has been computed for this subject yet — consensus scoring is full-tier machinery."},"stateHistory":{"label":"State history","basis":"recorded transitions — never edited after the fact","status":"none-recorded","note":"Measured zero: the ledger holds no coverage-state transition for \"china\". We do not backfill history we did not record.","transitions":[]}}}