{"schema":"sb.truth.v1","subject":"product-launch-spacex","title":"The Product launch: SpaceX record","tier":"standard","tierNote":"Standard-tier record, generated from the maintained event registry: reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation, and state history. No primary-source layer yet — first-party issuer verification is what upgrades a record to full tier, the discipline the hormuz record demonstrates.","subjectBinding":{"entity":"spacex","bound":true,"basis":"named-in-subject","statement":"Lead subject \"spacex\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Product launch: SpaceX\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity.","candidatesConsidered":["spacex"],"alsoDefensible":[],"rejected":[],"actionClass":"launch-release"},"publishState":"published","publishStateNote":null,"asOf":"2026-08-22","generatedAt":"2026-08-22T23:27:49.197705+00:00","tracked":true,"access":"Free — no key, no charge. Serves at GET /api/truth/product-launch-spacex and answers the get_truth_object MCP tool. (No exhibit page for standard-tier records yet — the API and MCP responses ARE the record.)","attribution":"Cite 'Signal Bureau' with https://signalbureau.ai/api/truth/product-launch-spacex so readers can verify.","layers":{"primarySources":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[]},"reporting":{"label":"Observed reporting","basis":"attributed sources — outside coverage in our tracked set; verify at the source. Prediction-market question pages are excluded: a venue question is not journalism, whoever hosts it. Filtered for EVENT relevance, not just subject: a row is served only if it names \"spacex\" AND carries a term from this record's own subject line, or two terms from its market-question set. The subject's name alone is the key its corpus was sampled on, so it proves nothing about this event — each served row names the terms it matched in eventTerms.","status":"observed","note":"Event-relevance filtered: 5 attributable rows sampled for \"spacex\", 2 served, 3 withheld as not shown to be about \"Product launch: SpaceX\". The served count is reduced on purpose and reported, never quietly smaller.","sampledForSubject":5,"served":2,"withheldNotEventRelevant":3,"relevanceTerms":{"subjectLine":["product","launch"],"questionSet":["starship","florida","flight","test"]},"items":[{"title":"SpaceX launches 29 Starlink satellites, lands rocket on ship at sea (video, photos)","url":"https://www.space.com/space-exploration/launches-spacecraft/spacex-starlink-launch-group-10-39-falcon-9-asog","eventTerms":["launch"],"relevance":"subject-line-term","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"SpaceX launches 100th orbital mission of 2026","url":"https://spaceflightnow.com/2026/08/21/live-coverage-spacex-to-launch-100th-orbital-mission-of-2026/","eventTerms":["launch"],"relevance":"subject-line-term","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"}]},"record":{"label":"The record itself","basis":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting","documents":567,"outlets":130,"activeDays":121,"firstSeen":"2026-03-03","firstSeenStatus":"observed","firstSeenNote":null,"lastSeen":"2026-08-21","lastSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeenNote":null,"homeDomains":["aerospace_defense","space_industry"],"asserts":{"launch-release":174,"ipo-listing":24,"utterance":18,"acquisition":10,"military-action":10,"funding-round":7},"assertionCoverage":0.45,"movesWith":[{"name":"falcon","together":147,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense","space_industry"]},{"name":"starlink","together":95,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense","space_industry"]},{"name":"nasa","together":137,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense"]},{"name":"space force","together":120,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense"]},{"name":"blue origin","together":67,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense","space_industry"]},{"name":"artemis","together":55,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense","space_industry"]},{"name":"cape canaveral","together":54,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense","space_industry"]},{"name":"vandenberg","together":42,"sharedDomains":["aerospace_defense","space_industry"]}],"movesWithLabels":["falcon","starlink","nasa","space force","blue origin","artemis","cape canaveral","vandenberg"],"provenance":"curated"},"coverageMetric":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"rising","baselineRelativePct":25,"reading":"Our coverage of Product launch: SpaceX is 25% above its 3-week baseline. This measures our attention — how much our tracked set is writing about it — not the event itself.","trackedDays":98,"eventMentions":703,"periods":[{"period":"2028","mentions":10},{"period":"2027-06","mentions":43},{"period":"2027","mentions":4},{"period":"2026-12","mentions":43},{"period":"2026-08","mentions":74},{"period":"2026","mentions":529}]},"market":{"label":"Market expectation","basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred","rowsStatus":"none-captured","rowsNote":"Measured zero: no priced capture rides \"spacex\" in this build.","current":[],"arc":[],"eventArc":{"name":"Product launch: SpaceX","slug":"product-launch-spacex","questionCount":15,"questions":["Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by June 30, 2027?","Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?"],"mentions":703,"firstSeen":"2026-06-11","firstSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeen":"2026-08-18","lastSeenStatus":"observed","stampNote":null}},"judgment":{"label":"Our reading","basis":"derived judgment — our reading over the layers above; ours, and labeled ours","asOf":"2026-08-22","text":"A standard-tier record keeps its layers apart and does not collapse them. Lead subject \"spacex\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Product launch: SpaceX\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity. Our coverage metric measures our attention; the reporting is attributed, not verified against first-party issuers; the market layer prices belief, not fact. Reading any single layer as \"the answer\" is how a machine gets this wrong — and this record's honest limit is stated in its tier: no primary-source layer exists here yet."},"consensus":{"label":"Reporting consensus","basis":"retroactive claims ledger — kernel facts scored by independent-chain agreement","pending":true,"note":"No claims ledger has been computed for this subject yet — consensus scoring is full-tier machinery."},"stateHistory":{"label":"State history","basis":"recorded transitions — never edited after the fact","status":"recorded","note":null,"transitions":[{"field":"coverage state","from":"fading","to":"insufficient_history","at":"2026-08-18T15:06:56.513447+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-12T15:08:16.430465+00:00"},{"field":"wire tier","from":"flagged","to":"watch","at":"2026-08-18T15:06:56.513447+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-12T15:08:16.430465+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"insufficient_history","to":"rising","at":"2026-08-19T15:07:45.991325+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-18T15:06:56.513447+00:00"},{"field":"wire tier","from":"watch","to":"flagged","at":"2026-08-19T15:07:45.991325+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-18T15:06:56.513447+00:00"}]}}}