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Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

Climate

The long-term pattern of global temperatures and weather; shorthand for climate change and the policy response to it.

Coverage of Climate is holding steady : 16 signals on the latest tracked day, up 14% from its three-week baseline of 14, across 10 domains (down from 11 a week ago). That makes it the #58 most-covered of the 289 concerns we track.

Climate is steady by its own history. Its normal rhythm is about 14 signals a day across 10 domains (45 tracked days). A real move would be a day at 18+ signals — 25% above that baseline, the bar our trend read calls accelerating — or a spread into domains beyond its usual 10. That is the move that would push it up the Wire. It sits on our Energy Desk.

What’s changed

7 of the last 7 tracked days ran above the three-week baseline — a sustained move, not a one-day spike.

What the reporting says

It shows up alongside AI (91), Wildfire (64), Oil (60), Aug (59), France (59), United States (54), China (53), Renewable Energy (49).

Two steps out: Anthropic (through AI, 91 shared stories on the weaker link); Google (through AI, 91 shared stories on the weaker link); Iran (through AI, 91 shared stories on the weaker link); Meta (through AI, 91 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since Apr 25, with coverage on 40 separate days.

Ask the engine about Climate + Track Climate for a daily read
Counts computed from our committed signal record (Jul 2 – Aug 16, 45 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Aug 17, 1:37 AM PT