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Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

Consumer Confidence

Survey measures of how optimistic households feel about the economy; a leading read on consumer spending.

Coverage of Consumer Confidence is holding steady : 3 signals on the latest tracked day, down 25% from its three-week baseline of 4, across 3 domains (unchanged from a week ago). That makes it the #285 most-covered of the 289 concerns we track.

Consumer Confidence is steady by its own history. Its normal rhythm is about 4 signals a day across 3 domains (7 tracked days). A real move would be a day at 5+ signals — 25% above that baseline, the bar our trend read calls accelerating — or a spread into domains beyond its usual 3. That is the move that would push it up the Wire.

What’s changed

What the reporting says

It shows up alongside Inflation (17), AI (13), Middle East (11), Interest Rates (9), Oil (8).

Two steps out: Aug (through Inflation, 17 shared stories on the weaker link); CPI (through Inflation, 17 shared stories on the weaker link); Federal Reserve (through Inflation, 17 shared stories on the weaker link); Hormuz (through Inflation, 17 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since Jul 17, with coverage on 21 separate days — concentrated in Ecommerce.

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Counts computed from our committed signal record (Jul 6 – Aug 15, 7 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Aug 17, 1:39 AM PT