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Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

CPI

Consumer Price Index — The main U.S. gauge of consumer inflation, tracking the price of a fixed basket of goods and services.

Coverage of CPI is holding steady : 6 signals on the latest tracked day, up 50% from its three-week baseline of 4, across 4 domains (down from 6 a week ago). That makes it the #172 most-covered of the 289 concerns we track.

CPI is steady by its own history. Its normal rhythm is about 4 signals a day across 4 domains (19 tracked days). A real move would be a day at 5+ signals — 25% above that baseline, the bar our trend read calls accelerating — or a spread into domains beyond its usual 4. That is the move that would push it up the Wire.

What’s changed

7 of the last 7 tracked days ran above the three-week baseline — a sustained move, not a one-day spike.

What the reporting says

Across 188 tracked stories from 45 outlets, reporting on CPI most often describes economic releases (59), rate decisions (7), meetings or visits (6), price levels (2), acquisition (2), military action (2).

It shows up alongside S&P 500 (45), Aug (63), Kospi (57), Seoul (55), Korea Composite Stock (54), SK hynix (46), Inflation (98), South Korea (44).

Two steps out: AI (through Inflation, 98 shared stories on the weaker link); Interest Rates (through Inflation, 98 shared stories on the weaker link); Iran (through Inflation, 98 shared stories on the weaker link); Oil (through Inflation, 98 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since Apr 28, with coverage on 22 separate days — concentrated in South Korea and Crypto DEFI.

What the crowd is pricing

Coverage momentum and market odds are separate readings — one can move without the other. A price is what the crowd believes, shown as a signal, not a forecast of ours.
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Counts computed from our committed signal record (Jul 4 – Aug 16, 19 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Aug 17, 1:39 AM PT