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Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

Crypto

Cryptocurrencies — digital assets recorded on blockchains and traded outside traditional banking.

Coverage of Crypto is holding steady : 44 signals on the latest tracked day, up 42% from its three-week baseline of 31, across 9 domains (unchanged from a week ago). That makes it the #14 most-covered of the 289 concerns we track.

Crypto is steady by its own history. Its normal rhythm is about 31 signals a day across 9 domains (45 tracked days). A real move would be a day at 39+ signals — 25% above that baseline, the bar our trend read calls accelerating — or a spread into domains beyond its usual 9. That is the move that would push it up the Wire.

What’s changed

7 of the last 7 tracked days ran above the three-week baseline — a sustained move, not a one-day spike.

What the reporting says

Across 549 tracked stories from 62 outlets, reporting on Crypto most often describes public statements (17), price levels (13), military action (12), meetings or visits (12), regulatory approvals (10), economic releases (10).

It shows up alongside Bitcoin (197), Ethereum (100), Treasury (73), Clarity Act (61), SEC (56 — meetings or visits ×6), AI (101), Coinbase (38), Defi (37).

Two steps out: Anthropic (through AI, 101 shared stories on the weaker link); Aug (through AI, 101 shared stories on the weaker link); China (through AI, 101 shared stories on the weaker link); Google (through AI, 101 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since Apr 8, with coverage on 28 separate days — concentrated in Crypto DEFI.

What the crowd is pricing

The odds the crowd puts on “Record crypto liquidation in 2026?” rose 2 points between Jul 2 and Aug 11, from 6% to 8%.

Coverage momentum and market odds are separate readings — one can move without the other. A price is what the crowd believes, shown as a signal, not a forecast of ours.
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Counts computed from our committed signal record (Jul 2 – Aug 16, 45 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Aug 17, 1:37 AM PT