Debt Ceiling
See what's moving around Debt Ceiling and get a calibrated, source-checked read on what happens next — and where it diverges from the market.
Markets pricing Debt Ceiling now
US defaults on debt by 2027?
3% Yes
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
18% Yes
Peak US National Debt before 2027?
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Prediction-market prices — a signal of what the crowd believes, not our read. Ask for the calibrated take.