Earthquake
Sudden ground shaking from shifts in the Earth's crust; tracked for disaster, insurance, and infrastructure impact.
Coverage of Earthquake is rising : 11 signals on the latest tracked day, up 120% from its three-week baseline of 5, across 5 domains (up from 3 a week ago). That makes it the #91 most-covered of the 289 concerns we track.
If Earthquake matters to your work, coverage is climbing off its baseline — worth a closer-than-usual look this week.
What’s changed
6 of the last 7 tracked days ran above the three-week baseline — a sustained move, not a one-day spike.
- M6.1 earthquake — 56 km NNE of Port-Olry, Vanuatu · USGS Earthquake Hazards Program · 2026-08-16
- M5.7 earthquake — 125 km NNE of Palu, Indonesia · USGS Earthquake Hazards Program · 2026-08-16
- M5.5 earthquake — Volcano Islands, Japan region · USGS Earthquake Hazards Program · 2026-08-16
- M5.5 earthquake — 76 km N of Ruteng, Indonesia · USGS Earthquake Hazards Program · 2026-08-16
- M5.5 earthquake — 61 km ENE of Ruteng, Indonesia · USGS Earthquake Hazards Program · 2026-08-16
- M5.4 earthquake — 19 km NE of Colonia, Micronesia · USGS Earthquake Hazards Program · 2026-08-16
What the reporting says
Across 847 tracked stories from 45 outlets, reporting on Earthquake most often describes disaster (771), public statements (4), military action (2), regulatory approvals (1), award (1), sporting outcomes (1).
It shows up alongside Indonesia (89), Philippines (88), Japan (71), Papua New Guinea (31), Tonga (31), Taiwan (22), Aug (40), Russia (40).
Two steps out: AI (through Japan, 71 shared stories on the weaker link); China (through Japan, 71 shared stories on the weaker link); Korea (through Japan, 71 shared stories on the weaker link); Seoul (through Japan, 71 shared stories on the weaker link).
Tracked since Apr 6, with coverage on 122 separate days — concentrated in Geophysical.
What the crowd is pricing
The odds the crowd puts on “9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?” held at 6% between Jul 2 and Aug 16.