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Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

Elon Musk

The entrepreneur behind Tesla, SpaceX, and X (formerly Twitter).

Coverage of Elon Musk is holding steady : 5 signals on the latest tracked day, down 17% from its three-week baseline of 6, across 4 domains (up from 3 a week ago). That makes it the #225 most-covered of the 289 concerns we track.

Elon Musk is steady by its own history. Its normal rhythm is about 6 signals a day across 4 domains (29 tracked days). A real move would be a day at 8+ signals — 25% above that baseline, the bar our trend read calls accelerating — or a spread into domains beyond its usual 4. That is the move that would push it up the Wire.

What’s changed

5 of the last 7 tracked days ran below the three-week baseline — a sustained cooling, not a one-day dip.

What the reporting says

Across 99 tracked stories from 56 outlets, reporting on Elon Musk most often describes launches or releases (11), public statements (11), IPOs or listings (3), military action (3), meetings or visits (2), acquisition (1).

It shows up alongside SpaceX (51), Starlink (29), AI (43), OpenAI (22), Trump (17), Anthropic (15), China (15), Nvidia (14).

Two steps out: Blue Origin (through SpaceX, 51 shared stories on the weaker link); Falcon (through SpaceX, 51 shared stories on the weaker link); Low Earth Orbit (through SpaceX, 51 shared stories on the weaker link); NASA (through SpaceX, 51 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since Mar 23, with coverage on 37 separate days — concentrated in Aerospace Defense.

What the crowd is pricing

Coverage momentum and market odds are separate readings — one can move without the other. A price is what the crowd believes, shown as a signal, not a forecast of ours.
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Counts computed from our committed signal record (Jul 2 – Aug 15, 29 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Aug 17, 1:41 AM PT