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Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

GDP

Gross Domestic Product — The total value of goods and services an economy produces; the standard measure of its size and growth.

Coverage of GDP is holding steady : 14 signals on the latest tracked day, up 40% from its three-week baseline of 10, across 5 domains (up from 3 a week ago). That makes it the #66 most-covered of the 289 concerns we track.

GDP is steady by its own history. Its normal rhythm is about 10 signals a day across 5 domains (42 tracked days). A real move would be a day at 13+ signals — 25% above that baseline, the bar our trend read calls accelerating — or a spread into domains beyond its usual 5. That is the move that would push it up the Wire.

What’s changed

What the reporting says

Across 247 tracked stories from 91 outlets, reporting on GDP most often describes economic releases (54), public statements (13), launches or releases (8), elections (5), meetings or visits (3), acquisition (2).

It shows up alongside India (41), AI (48), Inflation (40), Aug (37), Oil (37), Iran (28), China (27), Climate (24).

Two steps out: Anthropic (through AI, 48 shared stories on the weaker link); Google (through AI, 48 shared stories on the weaker link); Meta (through AI, 48 shared stories on the weaker link); Microsoft (through AI, 48 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since May 2, with coverage on 30 separate days — concentrated in India South Asia.

What the crowd is pricing

Coverage momentum and market odds are separate readings — one can move without the other. A price is what the crowd believes, shown as a signal, not a forecast of ours.
Ask the engine about GDP + Track GDP for a daily read
Counts computed from our committed signal record (Jul 2 – Aug 16, 42 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Aug 17, 1:38 AM PT