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Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

Hurricane

A rotating tropical storm with sustained winds above 74 mph; tracked for landfall, damage, and insurance losses.

Coverage of Hurricane is rising : 82 signals on the latest tracked day, up 110% from its three-week baseline of 39, across 4 domains (down from 5 a week ago). That makes it the #5 most-covered of the 289 concerns we track.

If Hurricane matters to your work, coverage is climbing off its baseline — worth a closer-than-usual look this week.

What’s changed

What the reporting says

Across 400 tracked stories from 38 outlets, reporting on Hurricane most often describes disaster (178), launches or releases (11), public statements (7), meetings or visits (3), sporting outcomes (2), regulatory approvals (1).

It shows up alongside Noaa (118), Atlantic (90), Size (101), Lala (30), Tropical Storm Cristobal (21), Cristobal (19), Aug (31), Wildfire (13).

Two steps out: AI (through Size, 101 shared stories on the weaker link); Directors (through Size, 101 shared stories on the weaker link); Disclosure (through Size, 101 shared stories on the weaker link); Fiscal Year (through Size, 101 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since Jan 26, with coverage on 22 separate days — concentrated in Extreme Weather and Disaster.

What the crowd is pricing

The odds the crowd puts on “Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?” fell 12 points between Jul 2 and Aug 9, from 32% to 20%.

Coverage momentum and market odds are separate readings — one can move without the other. A price is what the crowd believes, shown as a signal, not a forecast of ours.
Ask the engine about Hurricane + Track Hurricane for a daily read
Counts computed from our committed signal record (Jul 2 – Aug 16, 42 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Aug 17, 1:38 AM PT