India
The world's most populous country — a nuclear power and fast-growing major economy.
Coverage of India is holding steady : 52 signals on the latest tracked day, down 17% from its three-week baseline of 63, across 18 domains (up from 14 a week ago). That makes it the #31 most-covered of the 349 concerns we track.
India is steady by its own history. Its normal rhythm is about 63 signals a day across 18 domains (26 tracked days). A real move would be a day at 79+ signals — 25% above that baseline, the bar our trend read calls accelerating — or a spread into domains beyond its usual 18. That is the move that would push it up the Wire.
What’s changed
- India's foreign exchange reserves up almost $50 billion since July · Economic Times · 2026-08-22
- India bond yields hit two-month high as rate hike fears intensify · Economic Times · 2026-08-22
- You removed ours, we removed yours: India on demolishing Pak mission barricades · India Today Economy · 2026-08-21
- We're on your side: Poland backs India's right to pursue terrorists anywhere · India Today Economy · 2026-08-21
- The missing pieces in India's atmanirbhar defence push · India Today Economy · 2026-08-21
- Private sector growth recovers in August from July’s low as service sector strengthen: HSBC Flash India PMI · Mint economy · 2026-08-21
What the reporting says
Across 1,028 tracked stories from 165 outlets, reporting on India most often describes economic releases (43), public statements (34), launches or releases (30), meetings or visits (21), military action (19), acquisition (15).
It shows up alongside Delhi (142), China (191), Modi (80), GDP (71), Independence Day (67), Congress (66), AI (109), Oil (105).
Two steps out: Anthropic (through China, 191 shared stories on the weaker link); Aug (through China, 191 shared stories on the weaker link); Iran (through China, 191 shared stories on the weaker link); Japan (through China, 191 shared stories on the weaker link).
Tracked since Mar 16, with coverage on 50 separate days — concentrated in India South Asia.
What the crowd is pricing
The odds the crowd puts on “Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?” fell 5 points between Jul 8 and Aug 22, from 16% to 11%.