Iran
See what's moving around Iran and get a calibrated, source-checked read on what happens next — and where it diverges from the market.
Markets pricing Iran now
Iran leader end of 2026?
2% Yes
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
14% Yes
Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?
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Prediction-market prices — a signal of what the crowd believes, not our read. Ask for the calibrated take.