Skip to content
Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

Iraq

A topic on our watch list — we track its coverage across 6 domains, including Africa, Iran Regime and Middle East.

Coverage of Iraq is newly on the wire: 25 signals on the latest tracked day, level with its three-week baseline of 25, across 6 domains. That makes it the #41 most-covered of the 283 concerns we track.

If Iraq matters to your work, it just crossed our flagging thresholds — early and thin history, so watch whether the next few days confirm the move or fade it.

What’s changed

What the reporting says

Across 127 tracked stories from 32 outlets, reporting on Iraq most often describes military action (32), public statements (8), sanctions or trade (2), meetings or visits (2), sporting outcomes (1), price levels (1).

It shows up alongside Iran (104), Hormuz (62), Oil (62), Trump (55), Tehran (52), Middle East (46), Israel (43), United States (41).

Two steps out: China (through Iran, 104 shared stories on the weaker link); Russia (through Iran, 104 shared stories on the weaker link); Yemen (through Iran, 104 shared stories on the weaker link); Houthis (through Hormuz, 62 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since Jun 1, with coverage on 11 separate days — concentrated in Iran Regime and Middle East.

What the crowd is pricing

The odds the crowd puts on “KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?” rose 2 points between Jun 16 and Jul 25, from 6% to 8%.

Coverage momentum and market odds are separate readings — one can move without the other. A price is what the crowd believes, shown as a signal, not a forecast of ours.
Ask the engine about Iraq + Track Iraq for a daily read
Counts computed from our committed signal record (Jul 29 – Jul 29, 1 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Jul 29, 9:31 AM PT