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Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

Jerusalem

A topic on our watch list — we track its coverage across 5 domains, including India South Asia, Mental Health and Middle East.

Coverage of Jerusalem is holding steady : 5 signals on the latest tracked day, up 150% from its three-week baseline of 2, across 5 domains (up from 2 a week ago). That makes it the #328 most-covered of the 349 concerns we track.

Jerusalem is steady by its own history. Its normal rhythm is about 2 signals a day across 5 domains (3 tracked days). A real move would be a day at 3+ signals — 25% above that baseline, the bar our trend read calls accelerating — or a spread into domains beyond its usual 5. That is the move that would push it up the Wire.

What’s changed

What the reporting says

Across 93 tracked stories from 15 outlets, reporting on Jerusalem most often describes military action (9), meetings or visits (8), public statements (6), elections (4), sanctions or trade (3), disaster (2).

It shows up alongside Israel (85), Gaza (70), Netanyahu (38), West Bank (38), Prime Minister Benjamin (36), East Jerusalem (30), UN (20), Aug (29).

Two steps out: Hormuz (through Israel, 85 shared stories on the weaker link); Iran (through Israel, 85 shared stories on the weaker link); Middle East (through Israel, 85 shared stories on the weaker link); Trump (through Israel, 85 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since Aug 5, with coverage on 11 separate days — concentrated in Middle East and Turkey.

What the crowd is pricing

Coverage momentum and market odds are separate readings — one can move without the other. A price is what the crowd believes, shown as a signal, not a forecast of ours.
Ask the engine about Jerusalem + Track Jerusalem for a daily read
Counts computed from our committed signal record (Aug 22 – Aug 24, 3 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Aug 24, 10:35 AM PT