OPEC
Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries — A bloc of major oil-producing nations that coordinates output to influence global crude prices.
Coverage of OPEC is holding steady : 9 signals on the latest tracked day, up 80% from its three-week baseline of 5, across 3 domains (up from 2 a week ago). That makes it the #114 most-covered of the 289 concerns we track.
OPEC is steady by its own history. Its normal rhythm is about 5 signals a day across 3 domains (23 tracked days). A real move would be a day at 7+ signals — 25% above that baseline, the bar our trend read calls accelerating — or a spread into domains beyond its usual 3. That is the move that would push it up the Wire. It sits on our Energy Desk.
What’s changed
7 of the last 7 tracked days ran above the three-week baseline — a sustained move, not a one-day spike.
- Oil output, reforms sustain Nigeria’s economic growth – OPEC · Punch Newspapers · 2026-08-16
- Oil Prices Fall Over 1% as OPEC and IEA Cut 2026 Demand Forecasts · Markets.com · 2026-08-15
- Iran’s monthly oil production up 26,000 bpd: OPEC · Tehran Times · 2026-08-15
- Oil prices fall as OPEC, IEA cut 2026 demand forecasts · journalrecord.com · 2026-08-14
- OPEC cuts 2026 oil demand growth forecast by 200,000 barrels per day · Crypto Briefing · 2026-08-14
- Nigeria’s July 1.67mbpd oil production surpasses OPEC’s quota · The Nation Newspaper · 2026-08-14
What the reporting says
Across 71 tracked stories from 7 outlets, reporting on OPEC most often describes meetings or visits (8), military action (6), price levels (4), economic releases (3), public statements (1), launches or releases (1).
It shows up alongside Oil (62 — meetings or visits ×3), Hormuz (24), Nigeria (15), Adnoc (13), Iran (27), IEA (12), Brent Crude (8), Middle East (11).
Two steps out: Aug (through Oil, 62 shared stories on the weaker link); China (through Oil, 62 shared stories on the weaker link); Inflation (through Oil, 62 shared stories on the weaker link); Israel (through Oil, 62 shared stories on the weaker link).
Tracked since Aug 9, with coverage on 8 separate days — concentrated in Energy and Auto.
What the crowd is pricing
The odds the crowd puts on “Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?” fell 8 points between Jul 2 and Aug 16, from 16% to 8%.