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Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

OpenAI

The AI lab behind ChatGPT and the GPT model family.

Coverage of OpenAI is fading : 18 signals on the latest tracked day, up 20% from its three-week baseline of 15, across 11 domains (up from 7 a week ago). That makes it the #46 most-covered of the 289 concerns we track.

If OpenAI matters to your work, attention is draining away — the pace of news no longer demands a daily check.

What’s changed

7 of the last 7 tracked days ran above the three-week baseline — a sustained move, not a one-day spike.

What the reporting says

It shows up alongside AI (799 — acquisition ×3), Anthropic (604), Google (197), China (207), Nvidia (86), Microsoft (154), Meta (131), Black Hat (91).

Two steps out: Aug (through AI, 277 shared stories on the weaker link); Semiconductor (through AI, 238 shared stories on the weaker link); Iran (through China, 207 shared stories on the weaker link); Russia (through China, 207 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since Mar 3, with coverage on 133 separate days — concentrated in AI Investing.

What the crowd is pricing

The odds the crowd puts on “OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?” rose 1 points between Jul 3 and Aug 15, from 75% to 76%.

Coverage momentum and market odds are separate readings — one can move without the other. A price is what the crowd believes, shown as a signal, not a forecast of ours.
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Counts computed from our committed signal record (Jul 2 – Aug 16, 45 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Aug 17, 1:37 AM PT