Recession
See what's moving around Recession and get a calibrated, source-checked read on what happens next — and where it diverges from the market.
Markets pricing Recession now
Japan recession in 2026?
16% Yes
US recession by end of 2026?
12% Yes
UK Recession in 2026?
28% Yes
Prediction-market prices — a signal of what the crowd believes, not our read. Ask for the calibrated take.