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Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

S&P 500

Standard & Poor's 500 — The index of roughly 500 large U.S. companies — the standard benchmark for the American stock market.

Coverage of S&P 500 is rising : 5 signals on the latest tracked day, up 150% from its three-week baseline of 2, across 5 domains (up from 2 a week ago). That makes it the #338 most-covered of the 349 concerns we track.

If S&P 500 matters to your work, coverage is climbing off its baseline — worth a closer-than-usual look this week.

What’s changed

What the reporting says

It shows up alongside CPI (37), Aug (40), Dow Jones (38), Nasdaq Composite (37), Industrial Average (35), Kospi (34), Treasury (33), Seoul (28).

Two steps out: Abstract (through Aug, 40 shared stories on the weaker link); AI (through Aug, 40 shared stories on the weaker link); Google (through Aug, 40 shared stories on the weaker link); Sabah (through Aug, 40 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since May 18, with coverage on 25 separate days — concentrated in South Korea and Crypto DEFI.

What the crowd is pricing

The odds the crowd puts on “Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?” fell 4 points between Jul 6 and Aug 20, from 68% to 64%.

Coverage momentum and market odds are separate readings — one can move without the other. A price is what the crowd believes, shown as a signal, not a forecast of ours.
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Counts computed from our committed signal record (Jul 10 – Aug 20, 3 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Aug 20, 10:42 AM PT