States
On our broader watchlist — seen in 43 tracked signals across 6 sources over the recent window. Coverage is early and sparse; track it and we'll deepen it.
If States is on your watch list: what changed in the coverage, our read on what happens next vs. the crowd, and what to watch.
The crowd’s read, and ours
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
96% Yes
How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?
25% Yes
Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
45% Yes
Coverage momentum and market odds are separate readings — one can move without the other. Prices show what the crowd believes, not our read; our calibrated take is one tap away.