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Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

Tariffs

Taxes a government charges on imported goods, used to protect domestic industry or as trade leverage.

Coverage of Tariffs is fading : 30 signals on the latest tracked day, down 57% from its three-week baseline of 70, across 11 domains (up from 9 a week ago). That makes it the #31 most-covered of the 289 concerns we track.

If Tariffs matters to your work, attention is draining away — the pace of news no longer demands a daily check.

What’s changed

7 of the last 7 tracked days ran below the three-week baseline — a sustained cooling, not a one-day dip.

What the reporting says

Across 372 tracked stories from 102 outlets, reporting on Tariffs most often describes sanctions or trade (156), public statements (13), meetings or visits (4), launches or releases (4), economic releases (3), legal rulings (3).

It shows up alongside Trump (147 — sanctions or trade ×53), China (117 — sanctions or trade ×18), AI (71 — sanctions or trade ×3), United States (71 — sanctions or trade ×2), European Union (49 — sanctions or trade ×7), Korea (45), India (43), South Korea (42 — sanctions or trade ×3).

Two steps out: Aug (through Trump, 147 shared stories on the weaker link); Congress (through Trump, 147 shared stories on the weaker link); Hormuz (through Trump, 147 shared stories on the weaker link); Iran (through Trump, 147 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since Mar 25, with coverage on 47 separate days.

What the crowd is pricing

The odds the crowd puts on “Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2027?” fell 8 points between Jul 22 and Aug 14, from 46% to 38%.

Coverage momentum and market odds are separate readings — one can move without the other. A price is what the crowd believes, shown as a signal, not a forecast of ours.
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Counts computed from our committed signal record (Jul 2 – Aug 16, 45 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Aug 17, 1:37 AM PT