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Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

Trump

Donald Trump — the 45th and 47th president of the United States.

Coverage of Trump is fading : 83 signals on the latest tracked day, down 12% from its three-week baseline of 94, across 28 domains (up from 23 a week ago). That makes it the #4 most-covered of the 289 concerns we track.

If Trump matters to your work, attention is draining away — the pace of news no longer demands a daily check.

What’s changed

What the reporting says

Across 1,416 tracked stories from 258 outlets, reporting on Trump most often describes public statements (162), sanctions or trade (85), military action (64), elections (47), meetings or visits (37), launches or releases (30).

It shows up alongside Iran (365 — sanctions or trade ×2), United States (269), Israel (220 — ceasefire or deal ×5), Hormuz (198), Congress (194), Aug (190), China (180 — sanctions or trade ×11, meetings or visits ×2), Oil (170).

Two steps out: Russia (through Iran, 284 shared stories on the weaker link); Middle East (through Iran, 237 shared stories on the weaker link); Gaza (through Israel, 220 shared stories on the weaker link); AI (through Aug, 190 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since Mar 16, with coverage on 93 separate days.

What the crowd is pricing

The odds the crowd puts on “Trump out as President before 2027?” held at 6% between Jul 2 and Aug 16.

Coverage momentum and market odds are separate readings — one can move without the other. A price is what the crowd believes, shown as a signal, not a forecast of ours.
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Counts computed from our committed signal record (Jul 2 – Aug 16, 45 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Aug 17, 2:20 AM PT