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Ukraine

See what's moving around Ukraine and get a calibrated, source-checked read on what happens next — and where it diverges from the market.

Markets pricing Ukraine now

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? 6% Yes Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? 24% Yes Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? 5% Yes

Prediction-market prices — a signal of what the crowd believes, not our read. Ask for the calibrated take.

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Informational only — event intelligence, not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy