Unemployment
See what's moving around Unemployment and get a calibrated, source-checked read on what happens next — and where it diverges from the market.
Markets pricing Unemployment now
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
12% Yes
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
6% Yes
July Unemployment Rate
46% Yes
Prediction-market prices — a signal of what the crowd believes, not our read. Ask for the calibrated take.