Signal Bureau What's happening · what happens next

Venezuela

A topic on our watch list — we track its coverage across 6 domains, including 3d Printing, Aviation and Disaster Resilience.

Coverage of Venezuela is holding steady : 7 signals on the latest tracked day, level with its three-week baseline of 7, across 6 domains. That makes it the #116 most-covered of the 172 concerns we track.

Venezuela is steady by its own history. Its normal rhythm is about 7 signals a day across 6 domains. A real move would be a day at 9+ signals — 25% above that baseline, the bar our trend read calls accelerating — or a spread into domains beyond its usual 6. That is the move that would push it up the Wire.

What’s changed

The crowd’s read, and ours

The odds the crowd puts on “Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?” rose 10 points between May 29 and Jul 13, from 67% to 77%.

Coverage momentum and market odds are separate readings — one can move without the other. Prices show what the crowd believes, not our read; our calibrated take is one tap away.
Get our read on Venezuela, and what would change it + Track Venezuela for a daily read
Counts computed from our committed signal record (Jul 13 – Jul 13, 1 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Jul 13, 1:23 PM PT