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Ask anything about what we track. You get a clear, honest read grounded in what's actually happening in the news right now — and what would change the answer. The first 25 answers a day are free on a key you mint yourself in one call — no card; plans lift the cap. For information only, not advice.
Answers are published at an unlisted public link so you can share them (recent ones may appear on this page; stale links expire to a fresh re-ask after ~36 hours). Don’t include personal or confidential information in your question. Privacy & deletion
- The state of play: what’s actually happening on your question, grounded in tracked coverage — never a hot take, and never a probability of ours.
- The evidence: the live headlines, article text, and the desk’s own morning synthesis the read is grounded in, source-checked by a second model.
- The market’s own price: when a prediction market’s terms actually match the question, its live price — quoted and attributed as the crowd’s number.
- What would change this: the specific developments that would move the answer.
And when a question is outside what we track — or no market matches its exact terms — the engine says so and abstains from the missing piece rather than faking it.
China is the day's widest cross-domain story: 136 reports across 36 domains — auto, intelligence, iran regime. It reached venture capital coverage for the first time. Defense One: “FBI disables China-linked hacking tools used against US agencies”. Crypto Briefing: “Taiwan prepares troops on key islands for potential Chinese strike”.
Trump crossed 33 domains on 121 reports — auto, iran regime, middle east. It reached semi equipment coverage for the first time. CleanTechnica: “Renewable Energy Is Winning, Trump Is Losing (Shocker!)”. Cointelegraph: “Trump cost investors $4.7B through crypto ‘schemes’: Public Citizen”.
India crossed 29 domains on 73 reports — india south asia, auto, electric vehicles. It reached chemicals coverage for the first time. InternetRetailing: “Flipkart builds retail media for India's mobile-first, price-sensitive market”. Lowy Institute: “A stress test for Australia’s space ties with India”.
Meta crossed 18 domains on 36 reports — auto, digital identity, cloud computing. It reached mental health coverage for the first time. Insurance Journal: “Meta Settlement Opens New Front in Global Fight Over Social Media Harm”. All Content from Business Insider: “What Meta bought with its $18 billion settlement”.
OpenAI crossed 12 domains on 41 reports — auto, artificial intelligence, cloud computing. It reached cybersecurity coverage for the first time. MIT Technology Review: “The inside story on why OpenAI agents hacked Hugging Face”. Alignment Forum: “Brief independent investigation of agents' behavior, reasoning and collaboration in the OpenAI / Hugging Face hacking incident”.
Written each morning by the desk from tracked prediction markets and coverage. Informational only.