Curated event · curated

Gaza ceasefire

One event, one record — every framing of this event across news coverage and the crowd’s pricing resolves to this one key, so nothing fragments. Tracked since 2026-03-29; last seen 2026-08-02.

This event publishes a maintained truth record — /api/truth/gaza-ceasefire (also via the get_truth_object MCP tool). Layer clocks are stated per layer there; the “last seen” above is this card’s coverage-and-pricing clock.

Dormant record: the crowd hasn’t priced this since 2026-08-02. The record stays maintained; the prices and questions below reflect that last-priced date, not today.

Matched mentions in window

819

news items matched to this event in the coverage window — the list below is a sample, not the full set.

Crowd questions

6

Distinct framings the crowd is pricing right now — near-duplicate strike/deadline variants collapse into the 2 shown below.

Windows

3

Time windows tracked — most active: 2026.

When the activity clusters286 tracked mentions by market deadline window — the peak is 2026.
When the activity clusters
AreaMentions
2026229
August 202619
202738
WHO THIS INVOLVES

In the coverage

A sample of the recent reporting behind this event, with the original source behind every headline.

What the crowd is asking

Live question framings from public prediction markets — one sensor we cite for where consensus sits, never advice on which way to lean.

RELATED EVENTS

The crowd’s questions are cited as a public consensus sensor; mention counts are our own coverage record. Informational only — not advice. As of 2026-08-22 · live snapshot.