What’s happening, as one record each.
Signal Bureau resolves every framing of the same event — a headline, a brief, a crowd question — into one record, the same way it resolves every alias of a name into one entity. These are the events it is tracking now, with honest coverage counts. As of 2026-08-22 · live snapshot.
The standing watches
Curated event · 4,442 matched mentions · 82 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-22
Military action · 1,254 matched mentions · last seen 2026-08-20
Diplomacy · 947 matched mentions · 41 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-20
Curated event · 819 matched mentions · 6 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-02
Curated event · 556 matched mentions · 11 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-03
Election · 473 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-19
Curated event · 196 matched mentions · 25 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-18
Curated event · 28 matched mentions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-06
Election · 95 matched mentions · 23 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-20
Rate decision · 46 matched mentions · 33 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-20
Curated event · 41 matched mentions · 22 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-22
Curated event · 2 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-09
Economic indicator · 2 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-16
Auto-tracked events
Surfaced mechanically from news coverage — ranked by how much the world is covering them, not by market volume.
Disaster · 833 matched mentions · 15 crowd questions · last seen 2026-09-01
Product launch · 340 matched mentions · last seen 2026-08-20
Product launch · 551 matched mentions · last seen 2026-08-15
Product launch · 338 matched mentions · last seen 2026-08-20
Product launch · 278 matched mentions · 15 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-18
Election · 90 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-12
Election · 183 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-20
Military action · 6 matched mentions · last seen 2026-08-10
Economic indicator · 171 matched mentions · 32 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-20
Legal ruling · 40 matched mentions · 1 crowd question · last seen 2026-08-21
What the crowd is pricing
Surfaced from prediction-market pricing — price ladders and market clusters the crowd is actively pricing. We cite these as a consensus sensor, not events we’ve independently reported.
Rate decision · 307 matched mentions · 35 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-11
Disaster · 248 matched mentions · 34 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-21
Curated event · 319 matched mentions · 24 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-21
Economic indicator · 413 matched mentions · 24 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-15
Product launch · 444 matched mentions · 22 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-18
Product launch · 24 matched mentions · 19 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-11
Ceasefire & peace talks · 624 matched mentions · 17 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-19
Disaster · 344 matched mentions · 16 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-13
Election · 9 matched mentions · 16 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-10
Rate decision · 298 matched mentions · 15 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-11
Price threshold · 133 matched mentions · 14 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-21
Economic indicator · 20 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-12
Economic indicator · 358 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-18
Election · 1 matched mention · 12 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-15
Election · 2 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-22
Election · 6 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-20
Election · 48 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-12
Election · 21 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-19
Dormant records
The crowd hasn’t priced these in over two weeks. The records stay — one event, one record, continuously maintained — but we won’t call them live when they aren’t. Each card shows when it was last priced.
Product launch · 852 matched mentions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-03
Diplomacy · 27 matched mentions · 2 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-10
Election · 462 matched mentions · 13 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-06
Economic indicator · 20 matched mentions · 15 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-07
Funding round · 278 matched mentions · 11 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-03
Resignation · 194 matched mentions · 1 crowd question · dormant — last priced 2026-08-05
Election · 120 matched mentions · 25 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-31
Funding round · 43 matched mentions · 20 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-06
Economic indicator · 679 matched mentions · 19 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-18
Funding round · 10 matched mentions · 18 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-01
Economic indicator · 346 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-10
Election · 62 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-09
Election · 12 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-29
Election · 272 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-29
Election · 25 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-24
Crowd questions are cited as a public consensus sensor. Informational only — not advice.