U.S. recession risk, 2026
One event, one record — every framing of this event across news coverage and the crowd’s pricing resolves to this one key, so nothing fragments. Tracked since 2026-05-24; last seen 2026-08-16.
This event publishes a maintained truth record — /api/truth/us-recession-2026 (also via the get_truth_object MCP tool). Layer clocks are stated per layer there; the “last seen” above is this card’s coverage-and-pricing clock.
0
No independently joined news yet — our news-to-event join is conservative, so this record currently reflects crowd pricing only.
2
Distinct framings the crowd is pricing right now — near-duplicate strike/deadline variants collapse into the 1 shown below.
2
Time windows tracked — most active: 2026.
| Area | Mentions |
|---|---|
| 2026 | 129 |
| 2027 | 6 |
What the crowd is asking
Live question framings from public prediction markets — one sensor we cite for where consensus sits, never advice on which way to lean.
The crowd’s questions are cited as a public consensus sensor; mention counts are our own coverage record. Informational only — not advice. As of 2026-08-22 · live snapshot.