Fed rate decisions
One event, one record — every framing of this event across news coverage and the crowd’s pricing resolves to this one key, so nothing fragments. Tracked since 2026-05-24; last seen 2026-08-20.
This event publishes a maintained truth record — /api/truth/fed-rate-decision (also via the get_truth_object MCP tool). Layer clocks are stated per layer there; the “last seen” above is this card’s coverage-and-pricing clock.
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news items matched to this event in the coverage window — the list below is a sample, not the full set.
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Distinct framings the crowd is pricing right now — near-duplicate strike/deadline variants collapse into the 6 shown below.
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Time windows tracked — most active: 2026.
| Area | Mentions |
|---|---|
| 2026 | 2,443 |
| August 2026 | 42 |
| September 2026 | 322 |
| October 2026 | 301 |
| December 2026 | 265 |
| 2027 | 219 |
| June 2027 | 25 |
| 2029 | 21 |
In the coverage
A sample of the recent reporting behind this event, with the original source behind every headline.
- Scott Bessent’s Treasury buybacks are quietly undoing the Fed’s inflation fight · Crypto Briefing · 2026-08-21
- Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh may reassure investors at Jackson Hole · Crypto Briefing · 2026-08-21
- Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement actions with former employee of Regions Bank and former employee of United Community Bank · Federal Reserve CBDC · 2026-08-21
- Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement action with SouthPoint Bancshares, Inc. and announces termination of enforcement action with Deutsche Bank AG, DB USA Corporation, and Deutsche Bank AG New York Branch · Federal Reserve CBDC · 2026-08-21
- Federal Reserve Board announces approval of application by National Westminster Bank Plc · Federal Reserve CBDC · 2026-08-21
- Bitcoin’s New Macro Driver Isn’t the Fed — It’s the U.S. Treasury’s Debt Machine. Everyone watches Kevin Warsh. But the institution increasingly capable of moving the liquidity conditions that matter to Bitcoin may be sitting a few blocks away—the U.S. Treasury. · Reddit r/CryptoCurrency · 2026-08-21
- The Fed Minutes Were Hawkish. Why Did Long-Term Yields and the Dollar Fall Anyway? · Reddit r/economics · 2026-08-20
- The Fed Held Rates Flat for 231 Days, Your Mortgage Rates Went Up Anyway - 24/7 Wall St. · Google News: Federal Reserve interest rates 2026 · 2026-08-20
- Federal Reserve: Divided hawks shape late-2026 hike risks – Societe Generale · FXStreet · 2026-08-20
- Fed July 2026 FOMC minutes: rate hike debate details · qz.com · 2026-08-20
- FOMC minutes show uncertainty about inflation · ABA Banking Journal · 2026-08-20
- Did Bessent Put the Fed in a Bind? · NYT > Top Stories · 2026-08-20
What the crowd is asking
Live question framings from public prediction markets — one sensor we cite for where consensus sits, never advice on which way to lean.
The crowd’s questions are cited as a public consensus sensor; mention counts are our own coverage record. Informational only — not advice. As of 2026-08-22 · live snapshot.