Military action · auto-tracked

Military action: china & taiwan

One event, one record — every framing of this event across news coverage and the crowd’s pricing resolves to this one key, so nothing fragments. Tracked since 2026-05-27; last seen 2026-08-24.

This event publishes a maintained truth record — /api/truth/military-action-china-taiwan (also via the get_truth_object MCP tool). Layer clocks are stated per layer there; the “last seen” above is this card’s coverage-and-pricing clock.

Matched news mentions

169

news items our join has matched to this event family — the list below shows recent reporting, not the full set.

Crowd questions

4

Distinct framings the crowd is pricing right now — near-duplicate strike/deadline variants collapse into the 2 shown below.

Windows

5

Time windows tracked — evenly split: 2026, September 2026, June 2027, December 2027.

When the activity clusters169 tracked mentions by market deadline window — evenly split across 2026, September 2026, June 2027, December 2027.
When the activity clusters
AreaMentions
202642
August 20261
September 202642
June 202742
December 202742
WHO THIS INVOLVES

In the coverage

Recent reporting behind this event, with the original source behind every headline.

What the crowd is asking

Live question framings from public prediction markets — one sensor we cite for where consensus sits, never advice on which way to lean.

RELATED EVENTS

The crowd’s questions are cited as a public consensus sensor; mention counts are our own coverage record. Informational only — not advice. As of 2026-08-29 · live snapshot.