Product launch: iran & israel
One event, one record — every framing of this event across news coverage and the crowd’s pricing resolves to this one key, so nothing fragments. Tracked since 2026-06-30; last seen 2026-07-01.
Dormant record: the crowd hasn’t priced this since 2026-07-01. The record stays maintained; the prices and questions below reflect that last-priced date, not today.
Surfaced from prediction-market pricing: we cite the crowd’s questions here as a consensus sensor, not as an event we’ve independently reported.
0
no independently joined news yet — our news-to-event join is conservative, so this reads as crowd pricing only.
2
distinct framings the crowd is pricing right now — near-duplicate strike/deadline variants collapse into the 1 shown below.
2
time windows tracked — most active: December 2026.
Tracked mentions by market deadline window — the peak is July 2026.
What the crowd is asking
Live question framings from public prediction markets — one sensor we cite for where consensus sits, never advice on which way to lean.
The crowd’s questions are cited as a public consensus sensor; mention counts are our own coverage record. Informational only — not advice. As of 2026-07-16 · live snapshot.