Ceasefire & peace talks · crowd-priced

Ceasefire & peace talks: iran & israel

One event, one record — every framing of this event across news coverage and the crowd’s pricing resolves to this one key, so nothing fragments. Tracked since 2026-06-13; last seen 2026-07-17.

Surfaced from prediction-market pricing: we cite the crowd’s questions here as a consensus sensor, not as an event we’ve independently reported.

News mentions

0

no independently joined news yet — our news-to-event join is conservative, so this reads as crowd pricing only.

Crowd questions

8

distinct framings the crowd is pricing right now — near-duplicate strike/deadline variants collapse into the 2 shown below.

Windows

1

time windows tracked — most active: July 2026.

WHO THIS INVOLVES

What the crowd is asking

Live question framings from public prediction markets — one sensor we cite for where consensus sits, never advice on which way to lean.

RELATED EVENTS

The crowd’s questions are cited as a public consensus sensor; mention counts are our own coverage record. Informational only — not advice. As of 2026-07-18 · live snapshot.