The system

See what’s coming in your world — before it’s obvious.

An early-warning desk that watches everything used to take a floor of analysts, so only finance ever had one. That constraint broke. Signal Bureau reads more of the open information environment every day than any team could, checks it against where the crowd is putting real money, and hands you a ranked picture of what deserves your attention — sources one tap away.

10,612markets cross-referenced today
126verticals watched at once
159entities on the wire now

The desks.

Each high-stakes domain gets its own desk on the shared engine — and because one system watches all of them at once, it catches the chains between them: the chip shortage that slows a model lab that reshapes an energy deal. Read them; they’re free.

Behind the desks sit the Wire (every entity the engine is tracking right now), the events it resolves them into, the Answer Engine, and the daily record — every morning read archived at a permanent URL. Your agents can pull all of it through the API and MCP.

Measured, in public.

One property, tested nightly against the full market panel: prediction markets our watchers flag go on to reprice materially more often than comparable unflagged markets. Stratified by price band and liquidity, bootstrap confidence intervals, shock-excluded — the conservative estimate is the one we quote.

Flagged markets that repriced

23.6%

n = 1,485

Matched controls

14%

n = 35,450

Adjusted ratio

1.68×

95% CI 1.51×1.99×

That is an attention-leads-repricing association, not foresight or advice — and every probability we publish is graded against how reality resolves on the calibration page, with the selection rules on the methodology page.

The machine that makes it.

Every read passes automated checks before it reaches you: an independent model verifies each claim against its sources, anything that fails is blocked from delivery, and every published probability is graded against reality. Editorial stamina fails at 2 a.m.; these checks don’t. The numbers below are live.

The platform, live.

4,178,278
market + signal observations · last 30d
10,612
markets cross-referenced today (Polymarket + Kalshi)
502
entities & topics tracked
126
verticals watched

Every day, on schedule.

4:10a PT
Cross-domain sweep
~5,000–8,000 articles read and scored across every vertical
8:00a PT
Morning brief
what's moving, and what to watch today
every 2h
Intraday re-sample
the prediction-market panel refreshed; only the real moves surface
continuous
You ask
a calibrated, source-checked read in seconds

On the wire right now.

The entities moving across the information environment this morning. Click any to ask about it.

207,211
lines of production code
5,384
automated tests on every change
97
continuous-integration checks
14
production pipelines

Signal Bureau is a product of Evolution Labs, a division of Evolution Accelerator Inc. Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes.